Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in recent Pennsylvania polls, a key swing state with significant electoral weight. Polls show varying leads for both candidates, with Harris leading by 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average and Trump by 0.8 points in Real Clear Politics’ average. Pennsylvania’s importance is underscored by its history of picking winners and its large share of white, working-class voters. The state has a high chance of tipping the election, with Harris having an 87.5% chance of winning if she secures Pennsylvania, while Trump has a 91.3% chance. The first presidential debate will be held in Philadelphia, highlighting the state’s significance.